Lately many folks have wondered out loud "where is winter?" Based on weather observations from the National Weather Service in Dodge City for the month of November there may be some basis for that remark.
Lately many folks have wondered out loud "where is winter?" Based on weather observations from the National Weather Service in Dodge City for the month of November there may be some basis for that remark. At the Dodge City airport the warmest day during the month was 84 degrees which was observed on the 9th. The coldest reading of 15 degrees occurred on the 27th. The average temperature for this November was 47.2 degrees, or 4.1 degrees above normal, and ended up as 16th warmest on record based on weather records dating back to 1875. However, meteorological winter has just started so those wondering what happened to winter may have an answer soon.
Despite experiencing below normal temperatures in August, September andOctober, the average temperature for 2012 through the end of November is the 2nd warmest on record for the 11 month period. The warmest on record occurred in 1934.
To go along with the mild November there unfortunately was only a little bit of precipitation. The observed amount at the airport was only 0.09 inches and some locations in the area didn't even have a drop! For the fall months of September through November there was 2.52 inches measured which is the 37th driest on record for Dodge City. Normal is 4.17 inches. The driest fall on record was only 0.25 inches observed in 1980 while the wettest fall occurred in 1906 when 12.72 inches was measured. For the year there has been 17.21 inches which is around 3.5 inches below normal.
So, what about winter? The atmospheric conditions that brought the mild and
dry November have not changed much at all during the past month. However, there are some subtle indications that there will be enough change in the pattern to allow wintry cold air to finally make it down into southwest Kansas by about December 10th. Once this change has taken place there will be more frequent cold air intrusions and even a possibility of precipitation, including snowfall. So, December should not be a repeat of November although admittedly confidence in this solution is not high.